Throughout the course of the Ohio State football season, we like to keep an eye on what the ESPN computers say about the Buckeyes‘ chances of winning each of its games. It’s one thing to get a look at what the bleeps and bloops of the computer say before the season begins, and now that we have some game film to look at for all of the opponents, there’s some actual concrete data to go by.
Ohio State started slow, but did what it needed in the second half against Akron to impress onlookers and the national media members, but how did it move the needle and the chance of winning each game on the remainder of its schedule after Week 1? Do the computers believe the Buckeyes can win at Oregon? What about the trip to Penn State? And, of course, what about the game at the end of November against Michigan?
Here’s a look at the updated percentage chances of OSU winning each of its remaining games according to the ESPN ‘matchup predictor‘.
Saturday, Sept. 7 vs. Western Michigan
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 98.1% (down from 98.2%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 1-0
Projected Running Record | 2-0
Saturday, Sept. 21 vs. Marshall
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 94.5% (down from 96.4%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 1-0
Projected Running Record | 3-0
Saturday, Sept. 28 vs. Michigan State
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 93.7% (up from 91.5%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 37-15
Projected Running Record | 4-0
Saturday, Oct. 5 vs. Iowa
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 85.1% (down from 87.0%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 47-15-3
Projected Running Record | 5-0
Saturday, Oct. 12 at Oregon
Autzen Stadium (Eugene, Oregon)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 58.5% (up from 34.5%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 9-1
Projected Running Record | 6-0
Saturday, Oct. 26 vs. Nebraska
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 89.4% (down from 91.4%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 9-1
Projected Running Record | 7-0
Saturday, Nov. 2 at Penn State
Beaver Stadium (State College, Pennsylvania)
Predicted Winner | Penn StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 46.3% (down from 50.8%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 24-14
Projected Running Record | 7-1
Saturday, Oct. 9 vs. Purdue
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 91.3% (down from 93.3%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 41-15-2
Projected Running Record | 8-1
Saturday, Nov. 16 at Northwestern
Wrigley Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 90.5% (up from 87.8%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 65-14-1
Projected Running Record | 9-1
Saturday, Nov. 23 vs. Indiana
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 94.5% (down from 94.6%)All-Time Series | OSU leads 79-12-5
Projected Running Record | 10-1
Saturday, Nov. 30 vs. Michigan
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes Win Probability | 77.7% (up from 74.2%)All-Time Series | OSU trails 51-61-6
Total Regular Season Record | 11-1
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This article originally appeared on Buckeyes Wire: Updated ESPN game-by-game Ohio State football predictions after Akron game
